Publications and References

Publications

Attari, S. Z., DeKay, M.L., Davidson, C. I., & Bruine de Bruin, W. (2010). Public perception of energy consumption and savings , Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, August 16, 2010: 1-6.

Balstad, R. (2010). The Interdisciplinary Challenges of Climate Change Research. World Social Science Report, pp. 210-212.

Balstad, R. (2010). Climate, Society, and Caesar’s Wife. Weather, Climate, and Society, 2(2).

Balstad, R., & Hourcade, J-C. (2008). Climate and society: What is the human dimension? In C. Gautier & J-L. Fellous (Eds.), Facing Climate Change Together. New York: Cambridge University Press.

Balstad, R., Russell, R., Gil, V., Marx, S. (2009). Adapting to an uncertain climate on the Great Plains: testing hypotheses on historical populations. In N. Adger, I. Lorenzoni, & K. O'Brien (Eds.), Adapting to Climate Change: Thresholds, Values, Governance.Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 283-295.

Barsky, A., Podestá, G., & Ruiz Toranzo, F. (2008). Percepción de variabilidad climática, uso de información y estrategias de los agentes frente al riesgo. Análisis de esquemas decisionales en agricultores de la región pampeana argentina [Perception of climate variability, information use & strategies of the agents in the face of risk. Characterizing mental models in decision-making of farmers from the Argentine Pampas]. Mundo Agrario- Revista de Estudios Rurales, 8(16), 00-00, ISSN 1515-5994.

Bert, F., Podestá, G. P. ,Rovere, S., North, M., Menéndez, A., Laciana, C., Macal, C., Weber, E. & Sydelko, P. 2010. Agent-based Modeling of a Rental Market for Agricultural Land in the Argentine Pampas. In Swayne, D., Yang, W., Voinov, A.A., Rizzoli, A. Filatova, T. (Eds.). Proceedings of the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society (iEMSs), 2010 International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software “Modelling for Environment’s Sake”, Ottawa, Canada.

Bert, F., Podestá, G.P., Rovere, S., González, X., Menéndez, A., Toranzo, F. R., Torrent, M., North, M., Macal, C., Sydelko, P., Weber, E.U. & Letson, D. (In press). Agent based simulation of recent changes in agricultural systems of the Argentine Pampas. Advances and Applications in Statistical Sciences.

Bert, F.E., Satorre, E.H., Toranzo, F.R., & Podestá, G.P. (2006). Climatic information and decision-making in maize crop production systems of the Argentinean Pampas. Agricultural Systems, 88, 180-204.

Blavatskyy, P. and G. Pogrebna (2008) "Risk Aversion When Gains Are Likely and Unlikely: Evidence from a Natural Experiment with Large Stakes," Theory and Decision, 64(2), pp. 395-420.

Breuer, N.E., Cabrera, V.E., Ingram, K.T., Broad, K., & Hildebrandt, P.E. (2008). AgClimate: a case study in participatory decision support system development. Climatic Change, 87, 385-403.

Broad, K., Leiserowitz, A., Weinkle, J., & Steketee, M. (2007). Misinterpretations of the "Cone of Uncertainty" in Florida during the 2004 Hurricane Season. American Meteorological Society, 88(5), 651-657.

Broad, K., Bolson, J., Clement, A., Balstad, R., Marx, S., Peterson, N., & Ramirez, I. (2008). Climate and human health: Physics, policy and possibilities.  In P. Walsh, S. Smith, L. Fleming, H. Solo-Gabriele, & W. Gerwick (Eds.), Oceans and Human Health: Risks and Remedies from the Sea. New York: Elsevier Science Publishers.

Broad, K., & Orlove, B. (2007). Channeling globality: The 1997-98 El Niño climate event in Peru. American Ethnologist, 34(2), 285-302.

Broad, K., Pfaff, A., Taddei, R., Sankarasubramanian, A., Lall, U., & de Assis de Souza Filho, F. (2007). Climate, stream flow prediction and water management in northeast Brazil: Societal trends and forecast value. Climatic Change, 84, 217-239.

Brugger, J., Dunbar, K., Jurt, C., Orlove, B. (2010). Global Warming and Changing Water Resources: Perceptions of Glacier Retreat in Mountain Regions. Anthropology News, 51(2), 23-24.

Center for Research on Environmental Decisions. (2009). The Psychology of Climate Change Communication: A Guide for Scientists, Journalists, Educators, Political Aides, and the Interested Public. New York.

Crane, T.A., Roncoli, C., Paz, J., Breuer, N., Broad K., Ingram, K.T., & Hoogenboom, G. (2010). Forecast Skill and Farmers’ Skills: Seasonal Climate Forecasts and Agricultural Risk Management in the Southeastern United States. Weather, Climate, and Society, 2, 44-59.

Dinku, T., Giannini, A., Hansen, J., Holthaus, E., Ines, A., Kaheil, Y., Karnauskas, K., Lyon, B., Madajewicz, M., Mclaurin, M., Mullally, C., Norton, M., Osgood, D., Peterson, N., Robertson, A., Shirley, K., Small, C., Vicarelli, M. (2009). Designing Index-Based Weather Insurance for Farmers in Adi Ha, Ethiopia. Report to OXFAM America. IRI Technical Report 09-04.

Fleming, L.E., Broad, K., Clement, A., Dewailly, E., Elmir, S., Knap, A., Pomponi, S.A., Smith, S., Solo Gabriele, H., & Walsh, P. (2006). Emerging Public Health Risks Sourced in the Marine Environment. Marine Pollution Bulletin, 53, 545-560.

Hansen, J., Marx, S., Weber, E.U. (2004). The Role of Climate Perceptions, Expectations, and Forecasts in Farmer Decision Making. IRI Technical Report 04-01.

Hardisty, D.J., & Haaga, D. A. (2008). Diffusion of treatment research: Does open access matter? Journal of Clinical Psychology, 64(7), 821-839.

Hardisty, D.J., Johnson, E. J., & Weber, E. U. (2010). A Dirty Word or a Dirty World? Attribute Framing, Political Affiliation, and Query Theory. Psychological Science, 21(1), 86-92.

Hardisty, D., & Weber, E. U. (2009). Discounting future green: Money vs. the environment. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 138(3), 329-340.

Heal, G., & Kunreuther, H. (2007). Modeling Interdependent Risks. Risk Analysis, 27(3), 621-634.

Hellmuth M.E., Osgood D.E., Hess U., Moorhead A. and Bhojwani H. (eds) 2009. Index insurance and climate risk: Prospects for development and disaster management. Climate and Society No. 2. International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI), Columbia University, New York, USA.

Annex to Hellmuth M.E., Osgood D.E., Hess U., Moorhead A. and Bhojwani H. (eds) 2009. Index insurance and climate risk: Prospects for development and disaster management. Climate and Society No. 2. International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI), Columbia University, New York, USA.

Higgins, E. T. (2009). Regulatory fit in the goal-pursuit process. In G. B. Moskowitz & H. Grant (Eds.), The Psychology of Goals(pp. 505-533). New York: Guilford Press.

Krantz, D.H. (in press). Reconciling Innovation with Sustainability: A Psychologist's Perspective. In J. Sachs & P. Schlosser (Eds.), Is Sustainability Feasible?

Krantz, D.H., & Kunreuther, H.C. (2007). Goals and plans in decision making. Judgement and Decision Making, 2(3), 137-168.

Krantz, D.H., Peterson, N., Arora, P., Milch, K., & Orlove, B.S. (2008). Individual values and social goals in environmental decision making. Decision Modeling and Behavior in Uncertain and Complex Environments, 165-198.

Kunreuther, H., & Michel-Kerjan, E. (2007). Climate Change, Insurability, and Liability. University of Pennsylvania Law Review, 155(6), 1795-1842.

Laciana, C.E., & Weber, E.U. (2008). Correcting expected utility for comparisons between alternative outcomes: A unified parameterization of regret and disappointment. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 36, 1-17.

Larrick, R.P., & Soll, J.B. (2008). The MPG Illusion. Science, 320 (5883): 1593-1594.

Leiserowitz, A. (2004). Before and after The Day After Tomorrow: A U.S. study of climate change risk perception. Environment, 46(9), 22-37.

Leiserowitz, A. (2005). American risk perceptions: Is climate change dangerous? Risk Analysis, 25(6), 1433-1442.

Leiserowitz, A. (2005). The international impact of the day after tomorrow. Environment, 47(3), 41-44.

Leiserowitz, A. (2006). Climate change risk perception and policy preferences: The role of affect, imagery, and values. Climatic Change, 77, 45-72.

Letson, D., Laciana, C. , Bert, F. E., Weber, E.U., Katz, R. W., González, X. I., & Podestá, G. P. (2009). Value of perfect ENSO phase predictions for agriculture: evaluating the impact of land tenure and decision objectives. Climatic Change, 97: 145-170. Doi: 10.1007/s10584-009-9600-8.

Levine, J. M., Alexander, K., & Hansen, T. (2009). Self-control in groups. In R. Hassin, K. N. Ochsner, & Y. Trope (Eds.), Self control in society, mind, & brain. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press.

Levine, J. M., & Kerr, N. L. (2007). Inclusion and exclusion: Implications for group processes. In A.W. Kruglanski & E.T. Higgins (Eds.), Social Psychology, Second Edition: Handbook of Basic Principles(pp.759-784). New York: Guilford.

Li, Y., Johnson, E.J., Zaval, L. (2011). Local Warming: Daily Temperature Change Influences Belief in Global Warming. Psychological Science, 22(4), 454-459.

Marx, S.M. & Weber, E.U. (in press). Decision making under climate uncertainty: The power of understanding judgment and decision processes. In T. Dietz & D.C. Bidwell (Eds.), Climate Change in the Great Lakes. Michigan State University.

Marx, S.M., Weber, E.U., Orlove, B.S., Leiserowitz, A., Krantz, D.H., Roncoli, C., & Phillips, J. (2007). Communication and mental processes: Experiential and analytic processing of uncertain climate information. Global Environmental Change, 17(1), 47-58.

Milch, K. F., Weber, E. U., Appelt, K. C., Handgraaf, M. J. J., & Krantz, D. H. (2009). From individual preference construction to group decisions: Framing effects and group processes. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 108(2), 242-255.

Miralles-Wilhelm, F., Trimble, P.J., Podestá, G., Letson, D., & Broad, K. (2005). Climate-based estimation of hydrologic inflow into Lake Okeechobee, Florida. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 131(5), 394-401.

Orlove, B.S. (2009). Glacier retreat: Reviewing the limits of human adaptation to climate change. Environment, 51(3), 22-34.

Orlove, B.S. (2009). The past, the present & some possible futures of adaptation. In W. Neil Adger, I. Lorenzoni & K. O'Brien, (Eds.) Adapting to climate change: thresholds, values, governance. Cambridge: Cambridge Univ. Press, (pp. 131-163).

Orlove, B. & Caton, S.C. (2010). Water Sustainability: Anthropological Approaches & Prospects. Annual Review of Anthropology, 39, 401-15.

Orlove, B., Taddei, R., Podestá, G., Broad, K. (In press ) Environmental citizenship in Latin America. Climate, Intermediate Organizations and Political Subjects. Latin American Research Review.

Orlove, B.S.,& Kabugo, M. (2005). Signs and sight in Southern Uganda:Representing perception in ordinary conversation. Etnofoor, 18(1), 124-141.

Orlove, B., Taddei, R., Podestá, G., Broad, K. (In press) Environmental citizenship in Latin America. Climate, Intermediate Organizations and Political Subjects. Latin American Research Review.

Orlove, B.S., Roncoli, C., Kabugo, M., & Majugu, A. (2010). Indigenous climate knowledge in Southern Uganda: the multiple components of a dynamic regional system. Climatic Change, Special Issue on Indigenous Knowledge, 100, 243–265. (For summary, click here.)

Orlove, B.S., Wiegandt, E., & Luckman, B.H. (2008). Darkening Peaks: Glacial Retreat, Science and Society. Berkeley: University of California Press.

Orlove, B.S., Wiegandt, E., & Luckman, B.H. (2008). The Place of Glaciers in Natural and Cultural Landscapes. In Orlove, B., Wiegandt, E. and Luckman, B. (Eds.). Darkening Peaks: Glacier Retreat, Science and Society. Berkeley: University of California Press.

Osgood, D.E., McLaurin, M., Carriquiry, M., Mishra, A., Fiondella, F., Hansen, J., Peterson, N., & Ward, N. (2007). Designing Weather Insurance Contracts for Farmers in Malawi, Tanzania, and Kenya, Final Report to the Commodity Risk Management Group, ARD, World Bank. International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI), Columbia University, New York, USA.

Peterson, N., Broad, K., Orlove, B.S., Roncoli, C., Taddei, R., & Velez, M.A. (2010). Participatory processes and climate forecast use: sociocultural context, discussion, and consensus. Climate and Development. Vol. 2: 14-29.

Peterson, N. (2009). Choices, Options, and Constraints: Decisions in Natural Resource Management. Human Organization.

Peterson, N. (2009). Excluding to include: (Non)participation in Mexican natural resource management. Agriculture and Human Values as part of an organized symposium, "Participatory processes in agricultural development projects."

Peterson, N., & Broad, K. (2009). Climate and Weather Discourse in Anthropology: From Determinism to Uncertain Futures. Anthropology and Climate Change: From Encounters to Actions, Eds. Susie Crate and Mark Nuttall. Walnut Creek, CA: Left Coast Press.

Peterson, N., & Broad K. (accepted as book chapter). Participatory approaches to sustainability. In J. Sachs & P. Schlosser (Eds.), Is Sustainability Feasible?

Peterson, N., & Mullally, C. (2009). Index insurance games in Adi Ha Tabia, Tigray Regional State, Ethiopia. Final report to Oxfam America, Boston, USA.

Podestá, G.P., Bert, F., Rajagopalan, B., Apipattanavis, S., Laciana, C., Weber, E.U., Easterling, W., Katz, R., Letson D., & Menéndez, A. (2009). Decadal climate variability in the Argentine Pampas: regional impacts of plausible climate scenarios on agricultural systems. Climate Research, 40: 199-210. SPECIAL 20, Integrating analysis of regional climate change and response options.

Podestá, G., Weber, E.U., Laciana, C., Bert, F., & Letson, D. (2008). Agricultural decision making in the Argentine Pampas: Modeling the interaction between uncertain and complex environments and heterogeneous and complex decision makers. In T. Kugler, J.C. Smith, T. Connolly, & Y. Son (Eds.), Decision Modeling and Behavior in Complex and Uncertain Environments, Springer Optimization and Its Applications, 21(1), 57-76.

Pogrebna, G. (2008). Naive Advice When Half a Million is at Stake , Economics Letters, 98(2), pp. 148-154.

Roncoli, C. (2006). Ethnographic and participatory approaches to research on farmers' responses to climate predictions. Climate Research, 33, 81-99.

Roncoli, C., Orlove, B.S., Kabugo, M.R., & Waiswa, M.M. (2011). Cultural styles of participation in farmers’ discussions of seasonal climate forecasts in Uganda. Agriculture and Human Values, 28(1), 123-138.

Roncoli, C., Crane, T., & Orlove, B. (2009). Fielding Climate Change in Cultural Anthropology. In S. Crate and M. Nuttall (Eds.), Anthropology and Climate Change: from Encounters to Action (pp. 87-115). Walnut Creek, CA: Left Coast Press.

Roncoli, C., Jost, C., Kirshen, P., Sanon, M., Ingram, K.T., Woodin, M., Somé, L., Ouattara, F., Bienvenue, S.J., Sia, C., Yaka, P., & Hoogenboom, G. (2009). From accessing to assessing forecasts: an end-to-end study of participatory climate forecast dissemination in Burkina Faso (West Africa). Climatic Change, 92, 433-460.

Roncoli, C., Kirshen, P., Etkin, D., Sanon, M., Somé, L., Dembe´le´, Y., Bienvenu, S.J.., Zoungrana, J., Hoogenboom, G. (2009). From Management to Negotiation: Technical and Institutional Innovations for Integrated Water Resource Management in the Upper Comoe´ River Basin, Burkina Faso. Environmental Management, 44, 695-711.

Sheriff, G., & Osgood, D. (2010). Disease Forecasts and Livestock Health Disclosure: A Shepherd's Dilemma. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 92(3) 1–13, DOI 10.1093/ajae/aap042.

Small, A., Stefik, J., Verlinde, J. & Johnson, N. (2011). The Cloud Hunter's Problem: An Automated Decision Algorithm to Improve the Productivity of Scientific Data Collection in Stochastic Environments. Monthly Weather Review, 139, 2276-2289.

Taddei, R. (2010). Watered-down democratization: modernization versus social participation in water management in Northeast Brazil. Agriculture and Human Values, DOI 10.1007/s10460-010-9259-9.

Teshome, W., Peterson, N., Gebrekirstos, A. & Muniappan, K. (2008). Microinsurance Demand Assessment in Adi Ha Tabia, Tigray Regional State, Ethiopia. Final Report to Oxfam America. Boston, USA.

Weber, E.U. (2006). Experience-based and description-based perceptions of long-term risk: Why global warming does not scare us (yet). Climatic Change, 77, 103-120.

Weber, E.U. (accepted as book chapter). Achieving Sustainable Development: Behavior Change through Goal Priming and Judicious Decision Mode Selection. In J. Sachs & P. Schlosser (Eds.), Is Sustainability Feasible?

Weber, E.U. (in press). Doing the right thing willingly: Behavioral decision theory and environmental policy. In E. Shafir (Ed.), The Behavioral Foundations of Policy. Princeton, New Jersey: Princeton University Press.

Weber, E. U., & Stern, P.C. (2011). Public Understanding of Climate Change in the United States. American Psychologist, Vol. 6, No. 4, 315-328.

Weber, E. U., & Ancker, J. S. (2007). Cultural differences in risk taking and precaution: The relative roles of risk perception and risk attitude. In J. Wiener, L. Rogers, J. Hammitt, & P. Sand (Eds.), The Reality of Precaution: Comparing Approaches to Risk Regulation in the US and Europe. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.

Weber, E. U., Johnson, E. J., Milch, K.F., Chang, H., Brodscholl, J.C., & Goldstein, D.G. (2007). Asymmetric discounting in intertemporal choice: A query theory account. Psychological Science, 18(6), 516-523.

Weber, E. U., & Lindemann, P. G. (2007). From intuition to analysis: Making decisions with our head, our heart, or by the book. In H. Plessner, C. Betsch, & T. Betsch (Eds.), Intuition in Judgment and Decision Making (pp. 191-208). Mahwah, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum.

Zaval, L. and Gureckis, T.M. (2010) The Impact of Perceptual Aliasing on Exploration and Learning in a Dynamic Decision Making Task. In Ohlsson, S. and Catrambone, R. (Eds), Proceedings of the 32nd Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (pp. x-x). Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society.

Reports
2006: Alaskan Opinions on Global Warming 

2008: New York City Global Warming Survey 

2008: Florida Global Warming Survey 

CRED Biennial Report: January 2005 to January 2007